Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3e92af45ebcb5837aa855b19b21ef5f97aa9e5371a4691f8a29b618c494bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,000,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,177,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 53c | 152,077$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 46c | 66,098$30,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,405.16 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 59,258$30,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,876.17 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 49c | 41,352$20,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,006.8 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 31,950$14,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,685 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Liquid | 44c | 27,204$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,100.13 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Aurora | 46c | 24,050$11,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,062.98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Aurora | 56c | 23,665$13,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,252.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 22,308$11,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,616.31 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked Aurora | 49c | 21,000$10,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,290 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 48c | 20,479$9,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,660.58 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Aurora | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Team Liquid | 48c | 19,472$9,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,125.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 46c | 19,197$8,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,818.15 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Liquid | 45c | 19,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Aurora | 46c | 18,400$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 16,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 48c | 15,060$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.92 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 53c | 13,000$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 12,100$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff43…ab37backed Aurora | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Aurora | 52c | 10,602$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Liquid | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 58c | 9,851$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.74 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 54c | 9,767$5,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 47c | 8,691$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.76 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid | 53c | 8,490$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.29 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 7,362$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.76 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Aurora | 56c | 6,577$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Aurora | 46c | 6,250$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.91 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora | 51c | 5,500$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 5,415$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.71 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 58c | 5,410$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Aurora | 27c | 5,280$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.56 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…2ad3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 5,188$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.51 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 5,144$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.2 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Aurora | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.96 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 4,898$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.09 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 58c | 4,820$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.36 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 4,702$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.32 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 4,590$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.98 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Aurora | 44c | 4,303$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Aurora | 48c | 4,120$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,012$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.84 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Liquid | 54c | 4,000$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.67 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 3,893$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Aurora | 52c | 3,881$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.19 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 3,828$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 4c | 3,798$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 53c | 3,770$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.09 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 3,746$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.39 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 3,592$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,570$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4215backed Aurora | 48c | 3,465$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Aurora | 58c | 3,227$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 49c | 3,220$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.38 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 3,164$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 3,120$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.91 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora | 47c | 3,048$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.58 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 3,046$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.79 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Liquid | 40c | 3,006$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.15 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…3911backed Aurora | 27c | 3,000$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,912$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.76 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,891$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.09 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Aurora | 57c | 2,874$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,793$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.64 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,686$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.1 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 51c | 2,685$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.21 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Aurora | 60c | 2,671$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.62 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 56c | 2,657$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 48c | 2,580$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.4 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,563$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.23 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora | 54c | 2,418$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Aurora | 58c | 2,417$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Aurora | 59c | 2,411$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.45 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed Aurora | 41c | 2,410$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,388$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.03 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 61c | 2,359$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.94 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,306$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.64 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Aurora | 49c | 2,161$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.17 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Aurora | 56c | 2,158$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Liquid | 54c | 2,105$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.46 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 2,014$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.31 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Aurora | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.64 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…abd6backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,958$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 49c | 1,955$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.63 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,938$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.06 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 48c | 1,920$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.9 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 2c | 1,900$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,877$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.33 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.