CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7013bf5771f5df8446c6d58acecf692d7d14ec6b9d4873c8e1aedf6a6b8dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Prospectof STATE, Inner Circle Prospect
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 45c | 664.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.55 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…0f6bbacked STATE | 37c | 268.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 59c | 224.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 48c | 217.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Inner Circle Prospect | 52c | 197.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Inner Circle Prospect | 63c | 178.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 70c | 156.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Inner Circle Prospect | 29c | 152.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed STATE | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…4e8fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 74c | 131.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked STATE | 50c | 121.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked STATE | 39c | 117.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Inner Circle Prospect | 56c | 107.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked STATE | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed STATE | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked STATE | 49c | 99.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Inner Circle Prospect | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 57c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed STATE | 70c | 79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…721ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked STATE | 37c | 58.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Prospect | 62c | 54.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…e599backed Inner Circle Prospect | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…75cabacked STATE | 70c | 49.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked STATE | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed STATE | 78c | 45.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked STATE | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed STATE | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Inner Circle Prospect | 41c | 38.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 63c | 34.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked STATE | 69c | 34.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked STATE | 70c | 33.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Inner Circle Prospect | 64c | 32.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed STATE | 44c | 32.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked STATE | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed STATE | 60c | 25.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…b6b1backed STATE | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked STATE | 61c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 55c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked STATE | 62c | 20.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -9.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed STATE | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Inner Circle Prospect | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked STATE | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed STATE | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Prospect won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.