TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. 49ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof Titans, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$439,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked 49ers31c210,862$64,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,649.969554.7%52 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Titans71c70,091$49,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,326.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Titans64c62,565$40,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,396.637552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Titans71c39,003$27,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,310.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Titans72c32,193$23,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,173.5125956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Titans71c20,647$14,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked 49ers21c20,259$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed 49ers29c19,146$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,624.9814850%74 W · 74 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed 49ers28c14,007$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,950.82944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 49ers29c7,570$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.1637350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 49ers29c6,120$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.572944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked 49ers51c5,600$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85614750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Titans80c5,565$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.714835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Titans65c5,369$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 49ers34c4,847$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.2839447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 49ers1c4,728$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.941128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Titans65c4,695$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.713655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 49ers35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Titans71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Titans69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08513654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Titans76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ff…deffbacked 49ers5c2,504$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Titans71c2,463$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.653458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Titans71c2,428$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.3711544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Titans61c2,321$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed 49ers29c2,240$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.4822550.7%114 W · 111 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed 49ers39c1,989$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.812548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ee…c7dfbacked 49ers40c1,947$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Titans72c1,817$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed 49ers29c1,700$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Titans79c1,456$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8610452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed 49ers36c1,428$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.43154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51fdbacked 49ers29c1,401$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Titans71c1,202$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.585949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ff…f058backed Titans75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Titans74c1,166$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.885066%33 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 49ers28c1,160$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.688146.9%38 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabb…d83abacked 49ers34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed 49ers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick35cpaid+73.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 49ers32c960.89$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.072060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Titans73c953.03$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.93050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5b…7fdcbacked 49ers28c888.41$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d7…e3b3backed 49ers25c842.2$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked 49ers41c801.5$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.546238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d4…ee54backed 49ers70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked 49ers32c791.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Titans30c790$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f17…2c20backed 49ers26c725.05$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed 49ers32c718.75$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed 49ers35c699.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Titans70c680.49$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.894148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Titans76c664.04$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Titans67c664$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9217350.9%88 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked 49ers9c610$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.97851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Titans76c549.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Titans77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed 49ers43c513.56$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.723857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked 49ers37c507.04$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Titans76c499.56$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4210858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Titans70c495.39$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.184052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Titans58c480.3$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed 49ers31c455.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Titans72c415.87$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.432572%18 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed 49ers32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11228436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked 49ers23c326.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751250%6 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+117%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bc2…6b8dbacked 49ers32c307.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Titans71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed 49ers29c296.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853542.9%15 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 49ers37c280.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8611958%69 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Titans77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.84845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Titans44c253.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.868156.8%46 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed 49ers17c244.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-65.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Titans71c228.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.94744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed 49ers29c215.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.514258.5%83 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Titans69c210.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1c…6016backed Titans69c210.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2af…28c3backed 49ers32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Titans71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked 49ers28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked 49ers29c181.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6110455.8%58 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Titans70c180.38$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.835244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Titans66c174.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Titans71c165.05$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.879145.1%41 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6e…5c65backed Titans68c159.43$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed 49ers37c152$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.248349.4%41 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Titans68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Titans68c146.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5722349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 49ers34c130.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4511846.6%55 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d3…721ebacked Titans77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked 49ers31c114$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.181225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked 49ers36c111.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.79944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd339…9d25backed 49ers27c104$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed 49ers20c100.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0815944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed 49ers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe814…be87backed 49ers32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…27bdbacked Titans71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed 49ers17c94.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed 49ers34c93.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.856453.1%34 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…9599backed 49ers33c88.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Titans68c88.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.