Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d388edc19afb054ba25eef2c40fe9928e1ac0c470c679b6d353de9d2604b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof GLYPH, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed GLYPH | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.95 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 59c | 27,462$16,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,219.38 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PlayTime | 66c | 20,962$13,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197.84 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…94eebacked PlayTime | 70c | 20,625$14,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed GLYPH | 34c | 16,416$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.55 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked GLYPH | 3c | 13,914$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.3 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked GLYPH | 25c | 10,643$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.05 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GLYPH | 40c | 9,100$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed PlayTime | 74c | 8,191$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.19 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed GLYPH | 41c | 8,000$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 61c | 6,622$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.97 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 41c | 6,217$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed GLYPH | 13c | 5,509$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed PlayTime | 66c | 4,568$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed GLYPH | 1c | 4,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked PlayTime | 75c | 4,300$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GLYPH | 34c | 4,152$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.41 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed GLYPH | 29c | 3,814$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH | 25c | 3,771$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.87 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH | 21c | 3,717$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.94 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed GLYPH | 34c | 3,587$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed GLYPH | 22c | 3,170$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.5 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked GLYPH | 36c | 3,055$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 61c | 3,027$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.46 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 69c | 2,994$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.62 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 34c | 2,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.46 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed GLYPH | 34c | 2,957$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.72 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 60c | 2,943$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.38 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed GLYPH | 37c | 2,880$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.59 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked GLYPH | 25c | 2,806$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked GLYPH | 30c | 2,759$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked GLYPH | 32c | 2,700$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked GLYPH | 42c | 2,586$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.33 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed GLYPH | 16c | 2,403$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PlayTime | 62c | 2,327$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.16 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PlayTime | 79c | 2,312$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.17 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH | 38c | 2,250$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.96 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked PlayTime | 59c | 2,200$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.35 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GLYPH | 31c | 2,151$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.96 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked GLYPH | 39c | 2,138$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed GLYPH | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed GLYPH | 25c | 1,966$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PlayTime | 71c | 1,959$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.07 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed GLYPH | 22c | 1,799$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.63 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PlayTime | 72c | 1,748$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.43 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,733$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.66 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed GLYPH | 26c | 1,727$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PlayTime | 63c | 1,655$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.41 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed GLYPH | 27c | 1,641$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.02 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked GLYPH | 38c | 1,639$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.81 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GLYPH | 12c | 1,605$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked PlayTime | 63c | 1,537$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PlayTime | 69c | 1,530$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.1 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed GLYPH | 39c | 1,517$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.72 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked GLYPH | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PlayTime | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 63c | 1,483$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.02 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed PlayTime | 68c | 1,456$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.69 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH | 25c | 1,432$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.07 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked GLYPH | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.94 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed GLYPH | 23c | 1,399$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked GLYPH | 40c | 1,386$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,379$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,323$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.86 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…bdf6backed GLYPH | 39c | 1,252$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 77c | 1,250$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.73 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed GLYPH | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed GLYPH | 42c | 1,169$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PlayTime | 76c | 1,055$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,040$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PlayTime | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PlayTime | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed PlayTime | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PlayTime | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed GLYPH | 38c | 989.4$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed GLYPH | 35c | 957.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed GLYPH | 35c | 951.43$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed PlayTime | 64c | 928.27$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.71 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PlayTime | 62c | 914.76$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.76 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 36c | 901.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.9 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed GLYPH | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed GLYPH | 36c | 872$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.29 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked GLYPH | 21c | 871.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 58c | 867.9$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.31 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH | 34c | 855.08$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.73 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH | 9c | 842.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed PlayTime | 63c | 839.93$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed PlayTime | 61c | 819.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.79 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed PlayTime | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GLYPH | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 63c | 789.29$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GLYPH | 34c | 785.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked GLYPH | 39c | 785.33$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked GLYPH | 23c | 783.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed GLYPH | 13c | 770.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed GLYPH | 25c | 732.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)GLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.