Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81a84806d08e12f0f19f9bd96e49e03c1c83ee41cf445069c9bed4ee12a8bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 64c | 36,076$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed GLYPH | 40c | 34,440$13,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,530.48 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.95 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked GLYPH | 36c | 28,020$10,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,852.5 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed PlayTime | 51c | 24,531$12,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,471.73 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed GLYPH | 62c | 18,044$11,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.49 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 68c | 17,255$11,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,661.32 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed GLYPH | 68c | 16,101$10,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.2 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PlayTime | 42c | 15,588$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.5 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH | 53c | 14,914$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960.67 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked GLYPH | 50c | 14,400$7,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.48 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked GLYPH | 35c | 8,855$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.04 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 62c | 8,543$5,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 53c | 8,374$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.06 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 8,003$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.24 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 35c | 8,000$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.56 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 43c | 7,932$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.55 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed GLYPH | 51c | 7,675$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.09 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH | 68c | 7,010$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.1 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 37c | 6,164$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.11 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GLYPH | 65c | 5,723$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.38 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked PlayTime | 67c | 5,436$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed GLYPH | 33c | 5,136$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.89 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed GLYPH | 57c | 5,124$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.99 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed GLYPH | 59c | 4,319$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.74 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked GLYPH | 61c | 4,181$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.84 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed PlayTime | 46c | 3,592$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.8 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 46c | 3,554$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.27 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 35c | 3,475$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.88 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked PlayTime | 45c | 3,318$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.03 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed PlayTime | 55c | 3,082$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed GLYPH | 59c | 3,066$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.12 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PlayTime | 49c | 3,048$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.29 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PlayTime | 42c | 3,005$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.85 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PlayTime | 48c | 2,880$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.29 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 43c | 2,846$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.9 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed GLYPH | 68c | 2,845$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.14 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed PlayTime | 45c | 2,777$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.06 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GLYPH | 52c | 2,616$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.91 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed PlayTime | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed GLYPH | 73c | 2,452$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.85 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed GLYPH | 45c | 2,430$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.95 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed GLYPH | 34c | 2,355$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.48 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 63c | 2,114$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.3 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed GLYPH | 46c | 1,890$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.06 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed PlayTime | 55c | 1,789$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PlayTime | 67c | 1,782$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.85 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked GLYPH | 42c | 1,778$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.74 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,760$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.88 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GLYPH | 58c | 1,698$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.02 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH | 33c | 1,600$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.99 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PlayTime | 54c | 1,519$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.83 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked GLYPH | 36c | 1,516$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.24 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed GLYPH | 35c | 1,438$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.62 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed GLYPH | 42c | 1,319$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.22 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GLYPH | 59c | 1,202$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.28 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,193$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.92 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PlayTime | 47c | 1,149$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed GLYPH | 76c | 1,140$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked GLYPH | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,076$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed GLYPH | 53c | 1,035$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed GLYPH | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.37 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed GLYPH | 55c | 997.36$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.81 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed PlayTime | 29c | 994.22$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.06 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 65c | 984.19$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.72 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed PlayTime | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…f82dbacked GLYPH | 77c | 964.43$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked PlayTime | 58c | 949.99$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 49c | 942.17$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.47 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GLYPH | 53c | 942$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.2 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed GLYPH | 72c | 914.73$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed PlayTime | 17c | 905.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed GLYPH | 38c | 904$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.57 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked PlayTime | 21c | 902.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 20c | 900$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.91 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed PlayTime | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…98afbacked PlayTime | 40c | 900$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.97 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed PlayTime | 67c | 891.83$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.34 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed PlayTime | 37c | 862.19$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.04 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PlayTime | 29c | 819.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed GLYPH | 64c | 809.54$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH | 43c | 807.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.33 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked PlayTime | 63c | 749.78$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.36 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked PlayTime | 66c | 742.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked GLYPH | 56c | 735.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed GLYPH | 64c | 731.58$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked PlayTime | 61c | 724.3$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed PlayTime | 21c | 710.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 70c | 687.43$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PlayTime | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed GLYPH | 63c | 642$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked GLYPH | 80c | 625.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked GLYPH | 50c | 621.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GLYPH | 55c | 616.45$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…a37dbacked PlayTime | 41c | 600$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.14 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed PlayTime | 16c | 599.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked GLYPH | 63c | 599.92$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)GLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.