Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d06a0cc8d371fdd6df2f059d38f6ffbaabb4d1074c9f007eab45ea48712bdaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof GLYPH, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 70c | 18,398$12,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,525.15 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 60c | 17,408$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.01 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked GLYPH | 40c | 13,150$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.96 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked GLYPH | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed GLYPH | 34c | 7,735$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.1 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 68c | 6,104$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.93 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 29c | 5,511$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.09 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 67c | 4,000$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed GLYPH | 31c | 3,988$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.24 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked GLYPH | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed GLYPH | 21c | 2,700$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked GLYPH | 33c | 2,213$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.9 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked GLYPH | 30c | 2,024$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,864$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.15 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed GLYPH | 26c | 1,696$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.48 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed GLYPH | 32c | 1,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed GLYPH | 40c | 1,523$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.19 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed GLYPH | 30c | 1,459$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.89 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH | 13c | 1,412$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed PlayTime | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PlayTime | 61c | 1,329$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.93 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked GLYPH | 35c | 1,052$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked PlayTime | 64c | 927.6$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.88 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed PlayTime | 74c | 898.62$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed PlayTime | 58c | 853.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 69c | 828.84$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed GLYPH | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed GLYPH | 40c | 783.18$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed GLYPH | 35c | 777.14$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 67c | 775$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked GLYPH | 2c | 642.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PlayTime | 72c | 572.43$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed GLYPH | 39c | 528.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed GLYPH | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked PlayTime | 72c | 454.55$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PlayTime | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked GLYPH | 32c | 445.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed GLYPH | 42c | 423.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed GLYPH | 43c | 423$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GLYPH | 35c | 402.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PlayTime | 79c | 394.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed GLYPH | 29c | 369.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GLYPH | 19c | 342.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed GLYPH | 29c | 330.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 79c | 326$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked PlayTime | 72c | 319.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked GLYPH | 39c | 304.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked PlayTime | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PlayTime | 70c | 299.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed GLYPH | 35c | 274.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PlayTime | 61c | 274.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH | 39c | 273.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PlayTime | 66c | 261.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 77c | 250$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked GLYPH | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PlayTime | 64c | 242.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GLYPH | 31c | 233.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH | 20c | 227.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked GLYPH | 43c | 219$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked GLYPH | 30c | 206.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked PlayTime | 67c | 206.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PlayTime | 68c | 185.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed PlayTime | 70c | 181.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 176.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked GLYPH | 41c | 175.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PlayTime | 66c | 175.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PlayTime | 69c | 174.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed GLYPH | 42c | 167.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked GLYPH | 39c | 160.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed PlayTime | 60c | 154.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed PlayTime | 72c | 148.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GLYPH | 43c | 142.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…fa13backed PlayTime | 71c | 133.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed PlayTime | 57c | 132.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked GLYPH | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed GLYPH | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked PlayTime | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 72c | 114.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PlayTime | 76c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed PlayTime | 72c | 111.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed PlayTime | 68c | 100.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 92.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH | 30c | 91.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…853bbacked GLYPH | 15c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed PlayTime | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GLYPH | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed GLYPH | 29c | 65.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…a2b3backed GLYPH | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…36bbbacked PlayTime | 68c | 59.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed PlayTime | 66c | 55.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked PlayTime | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked GLYPH | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…e3c6backed PlayTime | 60c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed PlayTime | 69c | 46.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed GLYPH | 36c | 43.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked PlayTime | 80c | 42.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed PlayTime | 67c | 41.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked GLYPH | 32c | 41.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)GLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.