TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes33c121,229$39,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,649.35650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No67c30,000$20,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.994768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No48c24,093$11,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,671.842,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c20,106$11,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,996.972,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c15,068$6,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,442.385,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No4c14,371$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff94…8c4bbacked No30c12,540$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes70c10,122$7,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.8923733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c9,468$6,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,443.31,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes32c8,851$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,040.2249136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No68c8,806$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.545358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes73c7,760$5,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.186526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No4c7,360$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3912434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c5,990$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.643,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c4,927$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.938,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c4,896$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.091,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No68c4,536$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,084.512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c4,477$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.631,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45d…230dbacked Yes29c3,629$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9532…0af8backed No67c2,985$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No35c2,745$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No68c2,500$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6956243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No25c2,100$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.511,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No34c2,087$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.991,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c1,813$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.2975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No39c1,516$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.2512740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No66c1,444$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.611220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No35c1,415$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0425635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes65c1,266$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.182240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked No68c1,176$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No27c1,166$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.069122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c1,039$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.311,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No67c1,039$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No63c963.7$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.614362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No68c952.17$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6718050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c921.77$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.6551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abe…84cebacked No36c838.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30090%0 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No70c796.83$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.268756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No39c786.14$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.031330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes34c710.54$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.968746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No3c617.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No8c608$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.641,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Yes78c602.38$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No17c583.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes33c580.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.35825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes34c567.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.641838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes29c541.46$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.481,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No67c522$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No67c512.58$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3453557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No15c449.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No3c445.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5421252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No68c420$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes51c415.47$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No3c405.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1811039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c399.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9919559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes52c389.44$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a10…4bfabacked Yes71c380.59$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No66c375$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes61c348.85$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0522145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No68c347.31$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.483938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes47c345.01$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Yes63c309.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No67c303.02$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.022556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Yes64c302$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.723935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb696…7a4ebacked Yes50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes54c280.35$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.893,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c271$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.991,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c271$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.991,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c271$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.992,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c242$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.881,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes39c235$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.586864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No54c223.76$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c216.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.127855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes35c215$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No71c212.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5821366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…869bbacked Yes34c207.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No8c200.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.526526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14021358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13818358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.996056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No67c189.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.178930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No69c180$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.35446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cab…73abbacked Yes71c176.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes31c172.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.171560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes34c165$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.