South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0254d9586a3f88f08e0c377fb1761b6f43e6a4307ed3ba1fbe7fb87ba35f6e21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d73…76fabacked Yes | 38c | 15,601$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 4,582$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 3,943$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.01 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 3,481$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.78 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 3c | 3,266$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 2,747$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.18 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 60c | 2,539$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.43 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 2,514$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.4 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 14c | 1,865$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,846$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 1,521$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.84 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 1,079$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.39 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 20c | 1,070$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 946.64$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 932.52$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 67c | 891.22$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 849.03$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 778.68$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 28c | 707$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 21c | 477.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 80c | 469.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 67c | 437.74$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…96fbbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 329.93$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 238.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 73c | 225$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 219.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 213$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 75c | 197.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 174.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 61c | 153.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 79c | 151$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 146.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 27c | 138$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 22c | 125.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…ab7bbacked Yes | 16c | 122.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 24c | 113.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 77c | 108.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 74c | 106.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 17c | 98.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 18c | 97.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes | 30c | 97.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 74c | 90.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 85.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No | 76c | 82.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 70.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 28c | 69.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 64.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 23c | 62.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 60.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Yes | 27c | 57.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…6700backed Yes | 26c | 56.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…5ef5backed Yes | 28c | 42.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…e67fbacked No | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Yes | 28c | 36.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 35.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 74c | 34.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 35c | 31.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 75c | 22.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.