South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0e9eff250cca606ada97db9acfdbb436cbfdcd10ceea634476c0c1e3bbe8550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed No | 60c | 146,653$87,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,183.61 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 41c | 122,817$50,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,432.87 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 17,688$7,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,546.65 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 16,374$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.5 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 13,812$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.25 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 43c | 10,555$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.61 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 8,011$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.5 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 14c | 7,142$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 6,340$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.29 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 67c | 4,261$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.24 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 3,857$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.83 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,803$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.4 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 57c | 3,656$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 57c | 3,081$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.03 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,008$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 40c | 2,689$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.6 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Yes | 39c | 2,600$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 32c | 2,515$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.49 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 58c | 2,405$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.1 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 2,391$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.34 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked No | 61c | 2,381$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 14c | 2,273$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 34c | 2,036$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.08 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 1,966$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.24 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 42c | 1,932$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,912$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.3 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…7205backed No | 57c | 1,792$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 1,417$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,329$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.55 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 37c | 1,320$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.08 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 61c | 1,307$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.9 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,229$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.76 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 57c | 1,219$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.18 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 1,202$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 1,161$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.05 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 61c | 1,116$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes | 38c | 1,012$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Yes | 17c | 927.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 58c | 916.9$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 60c | 905.4$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 875.92$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 801.73$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 39c | 783.39$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 43c | 739.04$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.79 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 59c | 709.28$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.8 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 59c | 709.28$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 9c | 700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 691.77$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 680.36$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.06 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 657.49$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 14c | 607.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 40c | 589.19$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 39c | 554.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 40c | 550$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 40c | 543.68$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 522.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 63c | 518.19$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Yes | 14c | 492$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Yes | 14c | 478.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed No | 61c | 477.77$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 40c | 476.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes | 14c | 472.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Yes | 14c | 469.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Yes | 14c | 463.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Yes | 14c | 460.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 14c | 454.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yes | 14c | 448.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yes | 14c | 447$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yes | 14c | 444$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Yes | 14c | 444$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Yes | 14c | 442.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 36c | 436.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yes | 14c | 436.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Yes | 14c | 432$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Yes | 14c | 427.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Yes | 14c | 420$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Yes | 14c | 418.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes | 14c | 411$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 35c | 401.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 400.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 372.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 62c | 370.02$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 41c | 356$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 43c | 332.21$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 62c | 304.2$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.