TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c39,520$14,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,993.5649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes45c26,184$11,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,321.112,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c17,819$9,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,845.281,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No63c15,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4504768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes40c11,419$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,882.1323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c10,611$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.595,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c8,974$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.551,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes36c8,611$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.338233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c5,516$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479.661,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c5,350$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.131,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c4,924$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.753,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes77c4,475$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.8720036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c4,215$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.162,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c3,862$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.571,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes37c3,821$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.388756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No50c3,637$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.3531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No1c3,051$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8310618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes33c3,019$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.413049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No59c2,744$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.3319155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes37c2,599$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.6534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c2,435$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.728,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No63c2,238$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.883557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c2,058$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.441,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No35c1,952$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.299122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c1,946$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.5878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No63c1,703$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.0721366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes15c1,696$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.826131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No57c1,557$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.5575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c1,530$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.763,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c1,450$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1236339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No31c1,248$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2911143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes52c1,143$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.1548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb6…4938backed No45c1,120$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No65c1,083$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.612,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes55c1,077$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.921,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes37c1,040$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No46c995.92$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.7731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c983.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes61c943.8$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No61c888$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.688551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c885.25$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.11,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No34c874.39$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No31c857.92$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes57c853.76$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2312434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c851.41$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.881,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c842.41$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No64c838.1$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.12458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No39c837$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.968139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No3c834.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1610128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes63c809.74$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8425635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No65c797.84$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.65154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9532…0af8backed No64c765.63$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49050%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No63c669$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4731039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No67c643.36$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.055358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No40c638$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3312156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Yes35c628.57$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes59c552.92$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1612740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes50c501.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.938337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes64c474.76$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.077048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes79c453.64$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No37c369.9$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2421938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes37c367$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes37c367$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No32c342.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.691,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No22c336.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5833152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No63c322.29$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.042556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes67c308$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes9c277.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.782626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No63c276$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.888930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No66c275$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4318050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes39c260$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.61844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes60c230.11$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.574252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c217$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.132,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No64c210.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8116751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No63c206.73$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.247856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No73c200.27$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No50c195.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.738746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No66c192.86$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.645446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c190.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes39c187.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes37c184.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes56c181.16$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes42c176.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.365466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No37c174.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.446251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c165.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.941,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No37c163.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No12c158.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0411640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No63c157.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Yes62c154.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No41c146.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.496540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.