TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c10,829$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.221,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes20c9,531$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.7212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c8,034$5,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.62,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c7,590$5,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.248,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No78c7,555$5,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.642,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes24c3,353$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.4212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes38c2,761$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.5849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c2,497$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.391,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No68c2,417$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.1975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c2,215$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c2,190$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.235,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes21c1,775$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6910128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes19c1,496$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1521252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c1,271$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.721,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c05…544dbacked Yes41c1,143$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x825c…18e7backed No60c1,137$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No59c1,056$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43334747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3079…e67bbacked Yes41c1,007$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No78c954.11$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1211143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes29c948.23$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5248547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e0…ace4backed No60c947.81$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes31c750.81$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4312740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes35c716$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.131838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes14c700.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes41c697.67$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c694.35$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2493,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes36c615.09$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de0…55efbacked No60c596.25$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes9c582.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.112626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes29c540.69$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0820065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes29c464.14$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No71c414.79$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.685446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No67c414.08$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8925635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No64c385.25$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6919742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes40c375.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.011,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No76c366.88$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Yes13c360.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cf…2ca4backed Yes41c348.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…0473backed No60c337.84$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x803d…8dc9backed Yes41c335.68$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…5bdfbacked No60c327.24$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes18c325.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes40c318.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes37c276$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.128930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbf…c9febacked Yes41c272.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No64c248.31$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.398756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes42c237.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No59c229.56$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c222.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9876951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…3cf5backed Yes41c207.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c207.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes18c188.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3418733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes45c174.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.579122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No60c164$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No66c153.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.332751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.518359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c148.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.851,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No65c148.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0414264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No59c145.87$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes37c136.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes37c133.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes12c131.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Yes15c126.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.483743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf47…055abacked Yes41c126.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes14c124.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes37c123.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5725955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No52c123$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.047248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Yes37c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes29c114.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.233180.6%25 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes45c113.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+145.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No74c112.72$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9917067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No65c112.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0616751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes37c109.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.183636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2677…fe76backed Yes18c108.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6c…be8cbacked Yes20c103.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9824535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No74c98.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.269632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c74.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No74c71.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.784252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c68.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.431,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6119543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0f…ab7bbacked Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes37c59.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No61c55.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.492458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a6…6673backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c53.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2567548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes35c53.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e3…cc35backed Yes41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.