TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes27c7,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02531643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c6,705$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.092,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c5,348$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.95358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c3,979$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.062,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c3,180$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.691,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c2,914$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.425,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No61c2,752$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.3612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c2,515$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.541,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No67c1,946$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.1575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c1,662$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes42c1,581$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.623,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No72c1,389$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.8937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes27c1,336$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8519742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes42c1,227$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.591,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No73c830.94$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c526.88$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.541,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No74c474.67$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.75446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No72c473.77$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1512740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No77c453$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.141,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c352.48$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.21,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes27c339.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c278.34$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.833,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.59122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c179$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.771,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed No64c168$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.322846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No60c163.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes27c152.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.273545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes12c146.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No74c133.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.291,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes31c123$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1311944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes26c121.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.219349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c114.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No78c112.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8211640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes24c105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.219953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No63c100.05$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5417067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No69c97.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.229632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No70c96.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.613259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78d4…9ff8backed Yes27c92.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes27c88.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4416449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes31c74.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.361353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes26c74.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724b…8cd9backed Yes27c74.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c72.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Yes33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23de…0124backed Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966f…cd8abacked Yes26c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Yes33c67.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5713167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c65.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.611,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.612545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No68c59.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1911143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No79c59.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.734252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Yes18c59.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.733743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No79c57.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.298347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No70c57.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.155671.4%40 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes27c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes27c55.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No68c50.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes40c50.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No78c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No70c45.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.154856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21e7…4481backed No75c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes27c40.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1916751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes40c40.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No78c34.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No75c30.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.677959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7360…75a5backed No75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes39c26.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6341262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No73c22.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed No73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ce2…a9d0backed No58c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c18.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No73c15.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.298166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.453167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b32…3566backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.