TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x519c…8ae9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.83
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+762.1%+$114.31
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$52.18
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$13.95
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$17.55
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$110.19
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+65%+$16.25
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$15.42
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$95.85
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+367.5%+$128.64
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+193.1%+$347.49
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$208.95
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+335%+$1,020.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$674.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$72.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$76.7
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$73.7
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$312.54
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.3%+$43.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Bitcoin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.