TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes10c30,158$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.272,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes22c29,273$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.5549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c7,878$6,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.791,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No80c6,924$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.132,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c4,953$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.071,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes5c4,929$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.378,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes22c4,593$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0016131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c4,110$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.381,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes19c3,682$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.2430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes6c3,384$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No78c3,325$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c2,260$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.693,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…5045backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes20c1,743$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes7c1,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No78c1,568$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No79c1,500$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.3878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x776c…9f69backed Yes20c1,243$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked No79c1,060$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes16c968.59$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.871,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No79c952$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c929.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes15c809.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.553743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes22c760.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.384847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes5c560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes5c559.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.728342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes5c480$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Yes6c421.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8819559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes7c375.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.096526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No79c320.29$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3616751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No79c316.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c302.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes5c297.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8719349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No79c292.74$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes5c245.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed Yes21c232.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.861546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+75.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes5c230.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c220$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.218050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes7c196.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e70…a929backed Yes24c189.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4eb…999abacked Yes20c178$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No78c168.91$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.161,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c161.75$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.971,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes20c156.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.619632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No78c156$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03fd…2cd4backed Yes19c151.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No80c147$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes24c137$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c126.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.792,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c112$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…f768backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No78c98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes15c97.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.198347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No78c94.35$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked No79c83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No79c67.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.296540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes22c52.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6366837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116927.5%19 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No79c46.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52785.2%23 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick78cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed No80c27.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53187.1%27 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick78cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked No78c26.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No79c22.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7913856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No78c22.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No78c20.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5111848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.34542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed No73c19.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffb4…e4c2backed No80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No78c16.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c14.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0819460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked No80c13.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.643050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dbe…0801backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.