South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57189f63faba00d580b473ae026188e691a1c676d6d156039caaa3138d062a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 50c | 64,342$32,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,235.18 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 24,072$12,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,046.91 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 51c | 20,000$10,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,182.63 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 49c | 12,777$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 11,095$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 8,198$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.48 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 19c | 5,435$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.09 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,767$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.62 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 70c | 4,447$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.01 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 3,534$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.15 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…1164backed Yes | 48c | 3,086$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 2,896$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.04 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 77c | 2,860$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 50c | 2,850$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.17 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 2,390$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.09 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 69c | 2,382$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.91 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 2,264$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 2,223$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 2,175$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.56 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 31c | 1,900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 32c | 1,878$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.61 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 55c | 1,821$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 1,718$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 1,626$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.7 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 6c | 1,542$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 1,483$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,005$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 52c | 832$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 65c | 771.02$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.86 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 6c | 685.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 667$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 46c | 641.77$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 18c | 641$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 71c | 565.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 551.94$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.62 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 54c | 517.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 26c | 513.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 65c | 493.73$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 52c | 480.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 24c | 408.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 388.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 73c | 361.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 19c | 336$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 33c | 330.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 323$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 304.9$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 295.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 284.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 29c | 277.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 40c | 273.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed Yes | 46c | 265.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 260.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 52c | 255.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 6c | 245.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 242.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 51c | 237.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 24c | 232.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 34c | 219.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 48c | 204.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 78c | 201.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…2e7ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 9c | 198.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 50c | 191.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 79c | 186.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 79c | 170.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 41c | 160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 159$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 50c | 155.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 24c | 155.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 79c | 145.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 73c | 136.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 135.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 35c | 132.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 75c | 131.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 39c | 131.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 77c | 127.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.