South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2521c473173e65bcd9db6beeb1ece1a4963d48196661006bc4741ea87ab69809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked No | 60c | 52,820$31,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,629.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 19,354$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,861.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 40c | 12,020$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,212.21 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 9,218$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 30c | 8,263$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.82 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 33c | 3,610$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.39 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,488$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,944$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 2,744$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.67 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.01 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 2,087$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 2,061$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 1,686$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 62c | 1,327$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.15 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Yes | 41c | 843.44$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 69c | 459.61$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 70c | 413.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 397.29$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 40c | 393.56$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 40c | 385$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 71c | 378.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 374.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 59c | 340.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 321$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 59c | 272.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 58c | 187.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 40c | 168.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 41c | 131.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 41c | 129.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Yes | 38c | 100.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 45c | 99.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 48c | 97.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 41c | 95.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 47c | 88.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 41c | 87.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 42c | 77.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 75c | 70.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 42c | 63.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 29c | 62.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 58c | 60.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 39c | 54.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 61c | 54.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yes | 46c | 54.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 41c | 46.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Yes | 79c | 46.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 52c | 44.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 37c | 35.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…cf5fbacked No | 55c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 42c | 27.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 73c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 77c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 75c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…9cb1backed Yes | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Yes | 40c | 25.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b8c7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Yes | 79c | 15.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…be4abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?No won
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.