South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fe08ee972453a5be57e1588b6982563c97636961e47e57f36c7787190ff69d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 11,796$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 7,874$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 5,798$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.36 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 21c | 4,327$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,919$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 2,226$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.63 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,428$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,065$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.77 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 39c | 776.52$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 39c | 257.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 79c | 210.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 61c | 193.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Yes | 34c | 184.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 61c | 136$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 124.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes | 32c | 112.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 97.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 77c | 95.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 78c | 94.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 73.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 61c | 71.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 71.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 28c | 63.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 58.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 61c | 54.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 54.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 73c | 50.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 48.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 80c | 44.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 43.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 29c | 37.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 75c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.