TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Yes44c57,164$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c17,331$12,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No53c14,567$7,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,874.621958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80022643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c11,892$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,212.9476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes25c9,784$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.2123363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Yes21c9,445$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.663151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c9,126$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.4756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb952…25ebbacked Yes28c8,784$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb6…f90bbacked No51c8,512$4,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,170.882458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8893…be06backed Yes49c8,512$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.882540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No67c7,611$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes40c7,601$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.416847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c7,160$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c6,305$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.181,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c5,775$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.5893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c5,577$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes39c5,179$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.581,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No73c5,175$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9134357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes28c4,989$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.4629018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c4,216$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67035549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c4,170$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.4738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No59c4,147$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.4122451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.981450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.973557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No60c3,768$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.8941451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes18c3,716$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.7926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No80c3,672$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.8910550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes40c3,625$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4505433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes20c3,463$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.5739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d66…6ed9backed Yes10c3,419$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes26c3,329$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.941,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91cf…2254backed Yes31c2,897$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes17c2,540$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8413231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…886bbacked Yes36c2,464$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes39c2,394$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.487838.5%30 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No75c2,246$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9816833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes10c2,045$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5812036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes17c1,991$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes17c1,970$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.891,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No60c1,959$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.845563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes14c1,943$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.031,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes40c1,761$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.446031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c1,740$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85b…a848backed Yes21c1,667$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.345863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes39c1,538$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5854327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3347235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No57c1,308$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.651,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes26c1,276$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3368160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f04…8c19backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes41c1,245$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.424748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes17c1,063$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2311122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76ae…38e9backed Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44040736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes41c943.72$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes43c919.38$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3937842.3%33 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c910$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56ea…992ebacked Yes7c903.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.022420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes38c810.06$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.984522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed No58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33620337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No58c784$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2813951.8%72 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c779.98$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked No76c774.48$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4810762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91f4…7a5bbacked Yes41c722.4$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.181833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No58c679$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes25c673.51$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No60c666.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2543635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes31c635.12$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.673528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…2766backed Yes39c612.59$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.913933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No59c592$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes14c570$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.833120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes40c563.01$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Yes27c549.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes39c544.43$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.331,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes18c536.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No56c534.46$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1626155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes19c515.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa006…9c5ebacked Yes39c513.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.18933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5900…0c7dbacked Yes19c511.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes40c509.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.666237.1%23 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No60c505.21$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.411,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015048%72 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9cd…5260backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.