South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033417b611da65be6757963b5418439d85ed8c07d67b336bd7a6183a19759605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 8,070$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.54 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 3,592$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.03 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 3,198$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 17c | 2,611$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,253$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.08 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 1,909$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.59 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 1,773$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 35c | 1,398$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.46 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 859.68$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.13 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 4c | 527.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 507.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 65c | 387.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 65c | 387.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 36c | 276.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 65c | 232.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 255 | 57.3%146 W · 109 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Yes | 24c | 164.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 65c | 154.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 7c | 150.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 33c | 146.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 65c | 116.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 23c | 99.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 38c | 54.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 62c | 47.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 300 | 52.3%157 W · 143 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 37.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 560 | 46.1%258 W · 302 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 66c | 31.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 29.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 36c | 28.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 679 | 48.2%327 W · 352 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…076ebacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked No | 78c | 12.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.