South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f7381960c3761a61c0919d3fce5a6e2262205b4d85c5183f3b09cc5df762f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 69c | 7,919$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.05 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 36c | 6,539$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 5,239$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 30c | 3,534$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.77 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,953$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.57 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,950$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 71c | 1,548$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,277$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,250$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 1,250$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.47 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,118$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 1,111$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 62c | 1,083$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.36 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 902.3$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 780.75$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.77 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 31c | 747$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 659.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.39 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 55c | 374.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 19c | 336.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 311$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.59 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 13c | 288.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 21c | 286.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 35c | 246.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 33c | 240.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 21c | 238.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 66c | 210$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 14c | 184.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 15c | 180.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 35c | 164.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 158.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 154.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 35c | 142.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 70c | 142.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked No | 11c | 123.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 74c | 122.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 16c | 114.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes | 69c | 109.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 69c | 101.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 51c | 70.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 71c | 68.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 65c | 65.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 70c | 65.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 65.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 31c | 63.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 19c | 62.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 34c | 58.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 46.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 64c | 40.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 30c | 38.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 62c | 36.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 70c | 35.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 33.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 30.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…d4b7backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 61c | 28.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed No | 70c | 27.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 69c | 26.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed No | 74c | 26.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 67c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 73c | 25.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.