South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19fed7edbd1fa9f50f8049824db2a226ba23e22f311c7c085ae955d5c3a6a041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 66c | 15,427$10,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,142.22 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 68c | 8,000$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.18 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 6,288$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.43 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 5,837$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.55 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,873$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.73 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 3,360$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 2,209$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.22 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 33c | 1,444$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 19c | 818.66$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 32c | 804.45$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.35 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 35c | 789$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.85 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 622.29$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 530$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 458$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 458$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 74c | 424.46$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 34c | 418.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 321.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 68c | 298.51$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 289$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 73c | 229.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 212.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 34c | 199.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 193.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 38c | 182.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 34c | 178$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 74c | 154.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 137.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 42c | 137.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 75c | 134.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 68c | 132.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 35c | 123.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 122.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 121.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 30c | 120.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 48c | 108.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 108$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 25c | 104.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 61c | 100.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 98.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 25c | 92.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 33c | 84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 70c | 83.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 81.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 78.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 68c | 64.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 39c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 39c | 58.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 53.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 34c | 52.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 36c | 47.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…c7a1backed Yes | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 46.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 76c | 45.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 75c | 38.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 68c | 38.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 35.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 57c | 32.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Yes | 43c | 32.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 60c | 29.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 77c | 19.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 18.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.