South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7273efd490d30cfb4850e7a3923de0049e21abdf1a3b87af37cd93a059c02689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 11,100$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.65 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 32c | 5,518$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.76 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 2,642$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 32c | 2,501$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.31 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 1,607$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,544$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 894.83$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 890.36$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.91 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 521.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 374.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 32c | 288.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 279$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 28c | 250.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 27c | 234.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 69c | 125.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 32c | 110.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 105.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 104.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 12c | 98.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 32c | 89.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 80.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 71c | 79.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 15c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 70c | 42.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 70c | 41.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 70c | 35.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 27.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 69c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed No | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.