South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ee3585110f96a2494932aa0690f92b03e8c51d9b36ef7fe106424af749144b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 6,656$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.2 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 3,241$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 2,294$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.45 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,216$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.7 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 1,428$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,365$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 867.22$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 864.45$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 48c | 228.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 50c | 207.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 173.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 46c | 83.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 46c | 83.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 60.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 48c | 59.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 43.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 37c | 43.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 41c | 41.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 47c | 39.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 44c | 34.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 59c | 32.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 47c | 32.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 41c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 43c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 22.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.