TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$686,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$702,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed No44c190,408$84,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,556.575650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No48c126,702$61,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,312.2818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c82,448$44,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,767.045,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes52c67,357$35,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,000.7649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c49,746$30,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,142.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c26,663$13,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,331.5819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c19,210$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,129.243,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes51c17,615$8,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,632.673636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes51c17,445$8,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,534.638756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes50c13,541$6,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,770.561650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked No50c10,293$5,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,146.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c10,000$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.9917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No6c9,852$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c9,658$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.221,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5006546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes51c8,931$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.3742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No50c8,926$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.827244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes54c8,233$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.4931039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes52c7,551$3,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.334254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes60c7,000$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8356253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes55c6,790$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.365358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked No27c6,750$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes53c6,700$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,17116160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No7c6,648$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.936526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked No5c6,618$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.372835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No4c6,312$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7111039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes59c6,074$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.211,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes52c5,514$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No50c5,290$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6457143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes63c5,000$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No49c4,537$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.191566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No2c4,316$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes56c4,225$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.0519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes51c3,965$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.851850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c3,874$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.821,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes62c3,267$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.7612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes76c3,056$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.4116051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No35c3,003$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.2875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No1c2,908$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No49c2,886$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.253557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes50c2,875$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.438452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No5c2,847$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3512434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No14c2,804$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.761,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No1c2,789$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8415247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No46c2,759$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.958746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked No50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No2c2,550$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No2c2,400$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.142910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c2,383$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.339122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes51c2,334$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.5578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes55c2,189$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes74c2,158$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.7812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes77c2,055$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed No50c2,051$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.643148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes56c1,927$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.0172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c1,886$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.7166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes51c1,768$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.2813856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes79c1,659$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2236339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes52c1,658$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.0950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes55c1,621$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.4814540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes75c1,560$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.396040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c1,550$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.521,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7355133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes58c1,306$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.12,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes74c1,189$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8612740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No6c1,149$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.938743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c1,064$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.11,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Yes62c1,030$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No3c996.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.886412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes53c948.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.857748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes56c921.39$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2941262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes73c897$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.423733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No50c755.76$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.882937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Yes51c736$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.184667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes59c694.2$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.623938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes56c685.99$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.918050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes55c685.62$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8212755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes52c670.07$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No2c621$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.679710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb6…6c47backed Yes74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No4c524.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No6c516.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.896526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No5c491.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2911354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No27c474.96$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7925635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes52c447.48$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.38851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Yes51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes59c423.72$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes53c375.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes54c374.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes51c360$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.42917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No14c351.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2611143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes58c344.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes51c335.29$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.296665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c322.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.151,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.