TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes21c76,014$15,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,701.085650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No78c30,000$23,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,543.454768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c18,696$14,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,816.738,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No78c14,373$11,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes20c10,161$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.52,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c6,234$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.0642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes22c4,325$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.551,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c4,191$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.345,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes17c3,887$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.879454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed No79c3,240$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c2,906$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1912737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes22c2,646$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.1231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes22c2,509$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.742222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes23c2,032$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.325851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No79c1,960$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3455133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes22c1,475$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.492,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d5…d5eabacked No79c1,313$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.721252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes19c1,266$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes22c1,139$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.498746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes22c825.76$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.671,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes22c550.2$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.054658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No79c536$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5613049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes12c508.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes23c487.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0516751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No78c486.44$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.027856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No79c443$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0330754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No79c435$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No79c434$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes15c393.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed No79c392.09$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No79c355$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5514540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No79c355$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.554027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes16c341.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No78c259.37$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.062556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c236.33$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.643,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes8c233.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No80c230.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.158930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No79c215.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6619349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes20c213.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4155946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No78c191.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.071330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No78c187.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No80c187.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c185.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.413,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No77c183.37$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.711858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No78c162.59$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No79c161.96$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes23c153.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.317748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c152$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes8c150.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0512740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No79c137.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8713856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No78c129.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.573452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c129$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No79c123$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes16c120.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes22c119.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes15c118.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.176451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No77c112.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.763636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes22c110.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.272948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2141654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes21c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No79c79.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.868851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes18c76.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes17c68.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No79c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.946665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c4a…db2bbacked No79c61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b32…3566backed No79c61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No79c60.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.714264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391b…cf3ebacked No78c56.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No79c50.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No79c44.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4116449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…aa04backed No78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c37.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed No79c37.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22fe…9157backed No79c36.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed No79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.563467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No79c31.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4112662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9077…9c3fbacked No78c29.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed No78c29.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No79c22.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No73c21.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.731656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf458…f266backed No79c21.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.381080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.389446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed No78c14.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.284173.2%30 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No78c13.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9333365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No78c13.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.881947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.