South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1ea420982d0d01b2e63f9685c765f6dcf417c6c6a83ffe97b679e53e48df0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 21c | 10,083$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.43 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 79c | 6,678$5,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.94 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 5,739$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 23c | 4,839$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.06 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 3,346$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 2,791$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,366$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,042$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 77c | 1,568$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 1,366$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,078$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Yes | 2c | 967.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 547.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 416.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 22c | 341.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 258.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 75c | 230.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 21c | 201.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 73c | 176$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 101.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 82.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 80.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 25c | 69.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 22c | 68.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 22c | 67.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 25c | 64.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 22c | 63.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…ab7bbacked Yes | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 78c | 52.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 26c | 40.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 40.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 78cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 78cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.