South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89cadcfe9f8ff99884da12be121c0895d5fb0e6495e7243092ce684197cd4da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,055$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.8 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 19c | 3,419$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.98 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,413$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.45 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 20c | 2,297$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 1,335$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.96 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 17c | 1,088$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.54 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 47c | 939.39$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.07 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 27c | 727.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.67 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 16c | 726.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.96 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 721.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.01 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 60c | 628.31$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.55 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…93ffbacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 619$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 495.32$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 338.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 303.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 268.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 18c | 264.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 52c | 224.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 49c | 186.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 69c | 159.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 150.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 26c | 141.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…dca3backed Yes | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 15c | 140$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 126.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 40c | 120.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 36c | 109.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 36c | 109.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 107.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 105.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 14c | 104.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 53c | 102.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 19c | 101.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 37c | 101$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 37c | 78.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 76.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 33c | 64.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…497dbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6044…f1d0backed Yes | 70c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 26c | 56.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 55.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 68c | 39.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 78cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 70c | 36.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 47c | 28.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 76c | 20.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 79c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 79c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 16.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 78cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.