South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e2b3c388dba48c9863ead1bd01d80d912b3a47bdb7a2c4951ebbf1f4fad715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 2,065$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 68c | 1,851$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.75 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 1,604$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 1,324$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,291$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 65c | 739.73$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 75c | 533.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 529.97$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.16 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 321$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 32c | 306.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.87 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 272.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 151.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 33c | 128.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 107.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 67c | 99.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 80.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 66c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 34c | 73.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 66.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 53c | 54.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…10b3backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 33c | 44.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 32c | 43.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 40.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 67c | 36.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 67c | 36.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 68c | 35.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 53c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 51c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 36c | 28.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…c20ebacked No | 69c | 23.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 69c | 19.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 67c | 15.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.