TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed No51c45,551$23,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,429.792157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes44c37,727$16,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,702.32,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes49c26,184$12,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8883644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c13,216$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.212,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes50c10,262$5,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,131.093040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c9,897$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.875,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes46c9,272$4,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.0723733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes42c5,575$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.7575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c5,400$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes48c4,479$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.9315045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c4,393$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.381,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No50c4,077$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.527950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9607244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes50c3,603$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3140242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes49c3,267$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.832352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c3,156$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.2319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c3,071$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.181,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes48c2,864$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.6549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes48c2,773$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.2234747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c2,543$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes50c2,247$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.538233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No51c2,134$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.716160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes50c2,065$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.6229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c1,553$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.58551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7353557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c1,460$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.413,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Yes50c1,234$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.136827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes10c1,207$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c994.64$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.381,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c983$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.381,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c979.13$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.972,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No54c731$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes44c699.2$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.999920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Yes28c697.36$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c651.46$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.841,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No51c647$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c607.83$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.841,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No54c578.72$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes50c554.14$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.077732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c521$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.891,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No76c513.17$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No55c456.19$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No55c421.83$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No50c397.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9425955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No52c325.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes49c323.15$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.419437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed No55c273.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.11376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No54c261$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No55c239.29$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c233.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.491,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No53c224.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.642766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No54c224$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1550656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes36c223.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No51c221.03$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.318247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No62c206.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Yes49c200.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.482441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No61c197.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.581,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes47c192$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked No52c185.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No56c182$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9315552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No51c181.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c161.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No50c159$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.58026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes35c153.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3312737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes47c147.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No55c145.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No54c139.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.072272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No54c132.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7915364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5810766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5df…f6efbacked Yes40c126.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes51c119.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6119543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.811350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked No50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0375…4b24backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336527.7%18 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5624535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No55c98.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes48c98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.049244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No52c94.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.285354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No52c92.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.449860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No65c92.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.511764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No47c86.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7813856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No55c82.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.322975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.