La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0e69421b9c9fe4c918badb567470292c97eba6a2d0457f37291dc9c37f8cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 70c | 10,493$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 6,174$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.3 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 3,559$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.95 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 23c | 1,325$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,320$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.36 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.32 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 999.42$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.21 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 70c | 944.7$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 422.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Yes | 24c | 400.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 395.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.76 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 385.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 22c | 375.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed No | 53c | 373.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 20c | 322.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 269.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 60c | 265.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 31c | 199.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 23c | 186.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 151.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 78c | 143$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…7450backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked No | 16c | 134.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 125.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 102.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 20c | 92.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 23c | 84.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…38bfbacked Yes | 69c | 79.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 63c | 71.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 21c | 70.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 70.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 69.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 77c | 64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 47c | 52.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 46.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 46.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 41c | 33.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 27.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 77c | 23.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Yes | 51c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Yes | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 17.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.