Token Launches · resolved market
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f11c4c2cb15bfa6eddd5753ac8f3b2290d5867b00207c186a9f383c15ca949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 31c | 8,117$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.58 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed No | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 44c | 6,783$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 67c | 6,274$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.63 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 32c | 6,075$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.68 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…fcc0backed No | 33c | 5,854$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 62c | 5,701$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.87 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…7992backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed No | 29c | 4,969$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.08 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 60c | 4,765$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.52 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 34c | 4,694$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.28 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…d0abbacked Yes | 67c | 4,666$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 46c | 4,508$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.46 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked No | 52c | 4,090$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 40c | 3,911$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.94 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 35c | 3,484$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.41 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 49c | 3,397$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.35 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Yes | 48c | 3,283$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd0…41a1backed No | 34c | 3,235$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 35c | 2,900$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yes | 57c | 2,780$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 65c | 2,662$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…a406backed No | 58c | 2,660$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…db2bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,519$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…2349backed No | 30c | 2,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 49c | 2,412$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.69 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 2,312$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 50c | 2,282$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.17 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…36e5backed Yes | 74c | 2,039$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed No | 48c | 2,007$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked No | 35c | 1,952$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.58 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 51c | 1,948$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.41 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed No | 45c | 1,913$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 46c | 1,912$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.05 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 42c | 1,892$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.58 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed Yes | 71c | 1,800$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…ff5abacked Yes | 71c | 1,776$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed No | 49c | 1,769$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.45 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 17c | 1,718$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed Yes | 70c | 1,710$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 1,625$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 52c | 1,505$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.41 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61a…38e5backed No | 28c | 1,505$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…3186backed Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…7534backed No | 29c | 1,495$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 39c | 1,474$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 60c | 1,443$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.75 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 64c | 1,428$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…eccdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,331$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed No | 68c | 1,325$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed No | 34c | 1,249$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.59 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,229$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.11 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 53c | 1,196$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.17 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9b73backed No | 46c | 1,192$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked No | 32c | 1,177$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 52c | 1,137$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.89 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 40c | 1,123$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…ac2bbacked No | 24c | 1,080$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,051$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.68 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 65c | 1,039$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.48 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…5e49backed No | 33c | 1,032$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked Yes | 74c | 999.73$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed No | 58c | 988.42$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…2c7bbacked No | 41c | 983.46$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 67c | 952.64$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked No | 50c | 884$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.87 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…72a9backed No | 41c | 856.81$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 59c | 845.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…ca01backed Yes | 65c | 812.75$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed No | 62c | 790$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…5f05backed Yes | 67c | 789.51$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e10…c928backed No | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 45c | 763.15$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.34 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…19adbacked Yes | 61c | 759.59$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…d483backed Yes | 40c | 754.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 27c | 753.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…1059backed No | 40c | 735$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…5274backed No | 31c | 698.34$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked No | 31c | 694.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…370abacked No | 54c | 669.8$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…fef3backed No | 16c | 654.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…eb9bbacked Yes | 44c | 646.81$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 47c | 625.77$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.79 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 69c | 611.83$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed No | 55c | 600.05$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.46 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…1ebebacked Yes | 50c | 599$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…e723backed No | 66c | 586$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 64c | 584.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed No | 31c | 575.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 41c | 566.87$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Yes | 35c | 559.65$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 22c | 525.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 26c | 524$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…41b4backed No | 38c | 523.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…a14cbacked Yes | 55c | 522.67$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 19c | 518.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 44c | 503.35$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.67 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…0206backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- Football.Fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Football.Fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Football.Fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.