La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4b67c500d96daf0e60363f120d81e7f3e6b7a8cc85f259e4001e9839d6875c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 1,919$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,506$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 1,116$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.14 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 43c | 935$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 876.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.97 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 52c | 645.85$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 643.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 55c | 612$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 49c | 533.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.69 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 43c | 516.32$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 57c | 488.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 43c | 421.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 410.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 390$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 353.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes | 58c | 350.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 335.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 56c | 245.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 49c | 128.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 49c | 126.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 57c | 121.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 56c | 110.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 20c | 99.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 52c | 90.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 61.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 54c | 58.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 57c | 58.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 57.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 57c | 49.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 44c | 45.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 44c | 45.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 49c | 43.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 41.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 43c | 23.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 59c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 55c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.