Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271cf5378395da4d95bfea8a8e7bc5c88db53cf80cf40c2eaf5c759eb74dab8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 12,776$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 49c | 12,299$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,443.31 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 8,628$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 67c | 7,434$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 50c | 7,146$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.34 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 16c | 5,200$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.79 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 4,179$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.84 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 2,037$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.01 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Yes | 31c | 1,385$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 27c | 1,208$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 80c | 946.82$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.45 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 16c | 507.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.21 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 18c | 473.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.09 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 16c | 451.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.83 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 27c | 371.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 20c | 363.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 46c | 356.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 36c | 336.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 80c | 311$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 42c | 288.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 277.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 251.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 17c | 248.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…4f62backed No | 72c | 219.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 72c | 213.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 18c | 204.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 77c | 196.89$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 67c | 189$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 15c | 182.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 45c | 170.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 59c | 167.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 44c | 166.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed Yes | 50c | 150.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 16c | 139.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 136.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 72c | 135.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 17c | 131.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 35c | 121.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 105.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…79ebbacked No | 18c | 96.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1275backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 38c | 89.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked Yes | 49c | 78.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Yes | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 69.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 68c | 67.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 54c | 65.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 60c | 58.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 74c | 42.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 58c | 41.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 50c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 63c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 73c | 21.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 60c | 17.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 15.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…9c91backed Yes | 76c | 14.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?Yes won
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.