Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dbcf1b22ae62c4cdb6042de39b9a776dc64ade2cb6db9327e59a7982c3595f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 5,107$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 4,849$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.34 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 1,252$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.22 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,081$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 57c | 876.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 9c | 583.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 7c | 349.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 229.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 168$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 159.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 124.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 88.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…8645backed No | 53c | 52.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 49c | 44.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 44.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 34.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…4b85backed Yes | 74c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.