TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$895,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$991,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes50c245,677$121,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,759.676944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No19c129,112$25,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,080.325540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No50c86,654$43,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,327.179454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No49c69,145$33,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,638.612,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes74c49,098$36,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.142,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes62c29,989$18,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,487.6331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No53c22,642$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes63c19,163$12,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,150.6611338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No25c18,386$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.8175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No2c16,632$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8715552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c14,418$5,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,478.081,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes47c14,000$6,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,42019846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c12,890$6,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,660.641,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c12,611$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,354.523,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No29c10,529$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.242416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x11de…bb27backed Yes48c10,499$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No51c10,193$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes72c9,967$7,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.9429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No17c8,694$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.231,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes64c7,416$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.417440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No51c7,399$3,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.5812755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No50c7,249$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.986553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c6,460$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.11,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No53c6,343$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c5,932$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.9519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No38c5,550$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No28c5,299$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.9714530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes72c4,296$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.5613748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No28c4,051$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.8420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked No37c3,567$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.871442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes72c3,545$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.095957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes48c3,542$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.672458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No23c3,386$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.814852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c3,261$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.481,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No9c3,135$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9911817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1404346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c2,932$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.551,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes48c2,874$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.8637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No44c2,703$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.926412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No39c2,689$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.1612646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes71c2,340$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.1210828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed No51c2,308$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4962…f509backed Yes47c2,282$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.351060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Yes48c2,251$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c2,236$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.541,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes48c2,215$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.2123733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes45c2,141$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.8312740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes46c2,094$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.675837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes44c2,024$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.9136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0107248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01019447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No53c1,901$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.391643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…06bebacked Yes48c1,874$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No17c1,831$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.536142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No34c1,758$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.0910618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes52c1,732$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.269920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No60c1,656$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c1,610$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.161,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c1,417$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.9731039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c1,357$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.078551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No36c1,314$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No52c1,146$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.5426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes47c1,091$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5304443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c999.75$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.312,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No39c987.8$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2412738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed No53c979.97$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c961$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.721,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c961$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.721,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes45c954.81$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.953,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Yes45c954.49$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.163342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes51c902.42$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2312541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No18c869$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.296744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes49c847.1$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.2851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked No37c819.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No51c803.31$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No51c750.51$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7646449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c745$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.71,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes72c680.79$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6212156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No58c672.54$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.558818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes46c671.71$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.35837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes50c628.04$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.046735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes54c625.29$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.682661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No50c605.16$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5816751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3064040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No8c545.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6916641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No36c540.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.597723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No38c535$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.34148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked No5c532.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes49c508$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.