TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under50c11,290$5,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,616.0420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c8,213$4,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8228,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…a236backed Over60c6,853$4,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over50c6,534$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.3312646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,711$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over54c3,610$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.6711338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over36c2,956$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.1510828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under48c2,430$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e98…9046backed Over65c2,147$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over35c2,099$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.0375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.997248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c1,943$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.431,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c1,783$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.532,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over54c1,495$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8512340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Over50c882.08$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.0510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked Over51c690.75$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.061442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under60c502.02$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over66c446.47$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.82556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under61c444.69$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under63c430$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.353756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under36c421.35$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.526357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under70c366.29$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under46c346.08$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.22142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under62c320.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c286.81$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.821,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over19c286$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over36c274.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0212738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over39c223.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.026735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over43c204.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over55c186.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.121044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over50c185.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under49c184.41$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c163.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under36c147.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d1…b2d2backed Over36c139.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under62c138.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Over22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+246.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Under47c129.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c126$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c112.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.911,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under53c111$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c106.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3815625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over20c104.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.815041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over44c96.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3911640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc230…cf59backed Under54c87.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over20c85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under48c84.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6313856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over22c74.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.712,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over47c70.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over36c64.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Under37c59.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over29c59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6526965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c54.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.022,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under79c52.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7334747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over64c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under80c46.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c45.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Over61c41.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.252646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under49c40.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.738760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c38.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c38.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Over66c38.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over70c37.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2513373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over54c28.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.916149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over39c27.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.056142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under76c25.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under64c25.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over55c25.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4715554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under77c25.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.276065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x435e…f153backed Over50c24.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf651…53a1backed Over67c24.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02d…ea64backed Over66c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+111.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed3e…2a9ebacked Under59c17.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under66c17.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6915364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Under66c17.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.394252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under67c15.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1819164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under80c13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.