South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f20d71eb5c3532840e7d9c53de5ef592d8959c7bd6b8001be957369c495f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,830$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,851$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.54 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 390$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 277.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 19c | 249.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 243.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 51c | 241.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 17c | 168.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 59c | 166.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Yes | 17c | 150.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 106.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 50c | 103.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 80c | 94.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 87.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 85.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 82.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 47c | 80.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 20c | 74.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…107ebacked Yes | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +1,062.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 50c | 63.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a20dbacked No | 50c | 63.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 57.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 65c | 53.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 68c | 50.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 68c | 41.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 79c | 41.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked No | 50c | 41.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…b479backed Yes | 30c | 39.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Yes | 51c | 34.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…44f3backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 47c | 27.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 68c | 26.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 75c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…9b40backed Yes | 50c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +181%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 73c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: EC Vitória O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.