TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c9,366$5,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,377.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c6,791$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.191,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under16c4,548$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.8820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,711$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over34c2,452$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under25c2,180$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.582,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c2,013$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.352,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over38c1,448$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Under16c941.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.163148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Under55c914.63$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.052157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over76c817.43$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.971,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.520046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under12c718.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.232828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under66c654.69$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.1555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under18c601.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4629037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c467.1$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7619135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c421.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.981,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c417.76$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under59c407.62$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c386.84$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.971,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over39c380$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over68c261.46$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.831,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under66c207.29$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under62c204.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12712850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502982.8%24 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over33c199.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1345234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under65c192.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under23c181.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.433152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c175.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under68c167.36$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0350656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under12c166.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under17c158.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under64c144.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9918446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under65c132.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1229245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c126.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.161,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under58c122.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under62c119.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+246.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under12c109.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under13c106$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over68c101.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4610766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under73c95.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under59c94.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under58c87.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under62c87.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8415364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over75c85.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.852,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over35c80.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.325147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over44c80.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8314149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under62c67.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9215554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over43c64.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5141654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over73c64.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c62.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.053,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under69c61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c58.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Under70c57.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over36c51.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.985139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over37c51.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3511944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under56c48.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.386561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under64c47.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under42c45.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.324971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.122,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…b8bfbacked Under58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over66c40.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…c86dbacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0615625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe629…d920backed Over39c35.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd602…d370backed Over76c35.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under58c33.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5823253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa822…9459backed Under39c32.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c32.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under62c30.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.626065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over39c29.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.317067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a5…307abacked Over37c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7397…7402backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7541262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over47c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under72c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under44c23.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under71c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.073237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under68c15.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2433365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.