South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x997f4dba003e83acde3e440db4793a4341cb2ca3d0b430b72fe933fc567f2573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 6,458$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.82 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 6,198$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,711$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,996$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 69c | 1,779$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 24c | 1,669$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.7 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 38c | 986.11$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 969.85$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.75 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Over | 66c | 893.94$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 51c | 742.26$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.85 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 70c | 713.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 58c | 635.28$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.82 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 47c | 606.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 66c | 445$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 67c | 330.42$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 330$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 33c | 293.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 283.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 71c | 281.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 59c | 229.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 35c | 204.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…a7e1backed Under | 38c | 202.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 187.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 170.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 43c | 161.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 43c | 161.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…8fd7backed Over | 52c | 135.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 36c | 133.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 31c | 131.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 10c | 110.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 42c | 101.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 65c | 39.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 38c | 38.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 56c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 37c | 34.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 43c | 30.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 70c | 26.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: EC Vitória O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.