TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes50c100,000$49,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,381.415650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No51c21,088$10,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7763644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c16,626$9,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,080.88,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No50c15,047$7,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,523.537950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No9c12,036$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.5712434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No58c11,067$6,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,378.248763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c11,044$5,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,428.515,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No4c10,884$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4710446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No50c10,182$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.8819742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes42c8,638$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.8819155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes45c7,235$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,975.5375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c6,534$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.341,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes50c6,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0207244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No30c5,402$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.9812340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf837…bd42backed No75c5,365$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes39c4,235$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.72,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No13c4,166$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.4746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No50c3,840$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9206553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No59c3,732$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.8511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No57c3,497$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.948139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No57c3,422$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.3430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes46c3,000$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.7334747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c2,885$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.931,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes55c2,799$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.4821765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No55c2,715$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.1755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes47c2,600$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No50c2,420$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21042962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No46c2,367$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.3223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No17c2,358$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.4717440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.586864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes78c2,195$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.9257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No3c2,074$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.048818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed No52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c1,504$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.122,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No13c1,405$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8721538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No12c1,251$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9710828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No44c1,204$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.923842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c1,188$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No55c1,168$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.114753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c1,124$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.371,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes29c1,118$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.8223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c1,095$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.81,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No7c1,075$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.263016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes49c1,016$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50517049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.4499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes49c991.91$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.251,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c962.28$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.143,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No57c847.61$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.575957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c771.07$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes36c750$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.414040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No14c714.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No65c696.69$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.6535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No16c658.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1514530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes40c646$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0110667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No73c601.32$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.5111354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No17c552.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9812646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c481.61$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.061,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes42c478.17$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes80c463.65$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c448.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No16c424.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No8c418.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9115625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked Yes39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.622352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes50c382$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19138233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c379.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes66c370$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4111350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No55c363.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No15c355.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8322145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No53c342.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7821044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No52c299.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c270.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes59c270.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.833638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes79c261.83$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes39c220$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.334714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Yes49c196.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes40c191.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5316864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No51c187.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8318247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef6…3a9cbacked No50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No22c180$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.315143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Yes51c168.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No25c168$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c160.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.441,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.