South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391ae1a4b323786f79b3b3c788cf2f832dcfad58f1e1f54cb773f185fc74b6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 39c | 22,172$8,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,416.76 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 7,962$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 7,618$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 47c | 2,185$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.88 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 60c | 1,722$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.28 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,614$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 56c | 869.62$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.65 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 802.25$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 56c | 655.8$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 56c | 650.45$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 41c | 592.58$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 7c | 531$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 57c | 530.86$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 54c | 498.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 446.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 50c | 367.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 322.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 52c | 296.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 8c | 277$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 275.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 40c | 248.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 247.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 40c | 177.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 63c | 165.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 61c | 160.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 56c | 140.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 132.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 123.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 69c | 96.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 38c | 88.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed No | 42c | 84.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 69c | 81.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 78.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0721…bbedbacked No | 62c | 78.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 67.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 63.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 60.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 35c | 51.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 69c | 48.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 66c | 47.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e95…d86dbacked No | 71c | 47.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 40.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…fca2backed Yes | 36c | 39.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Yes | 57c | 39.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 38.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 34.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 62c | 34.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…3cf1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 24.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 42c | 24.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 78c | 23.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…323bbacked No | 63c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 76c | 22.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…0a26backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.