TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfedd…0a26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$43.35
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.95
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.49
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$5.38
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$51.13
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.91
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.05
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.9
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.55
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$89
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$98
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$41.16
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$209.98
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Lexington: Jay Dylan Friend vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$20.57
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Samsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.88
Vancouver: Liam Broady vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$7.25
Samsun: Gabriel Debru vs Florent Baxbacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.3
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.09
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$166.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$144.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$113.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.