TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Jay Dylan Friend vs Colton Smith

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jay Dylan Friendof Jay Dylan Friend, Colton Smith
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Colton Smith34c15,109$5,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.243,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jay Dylan Friend65c12,654$8,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jay Dylan Friend56c5,577$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Jay Dylan Friend36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.569136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Colton Smith52c3,820$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.410438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Colton Smith29c3,475$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jay Dylan Friend43c3,173$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.254,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Colton Smith61c2,346$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.084,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Colton Smith73c2,146$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.826,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jay Dylan Friend46c2,010$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.144,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Colton Smith77c1,586$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.413,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Jay Dylan Friend21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9832637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Colton Smith68c1,419$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.442,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jay Dylan Friend32c1,339$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.329,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Colton Smith74c1,122$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.3670254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Jay Dylan Friend44c1,049$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.4321955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Jay Dylan Friend20c1,019$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.514418.1%26 W · 118 L-0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Jay Dylan Friend28c914.14$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65943347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Colton Smith42c898.26$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.85,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Jay Dylan Friend25c892$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.3362140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Colton Smith56c880.88$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.291,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Jay Dylan Friend19c841$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.211,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Colton Smith60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colton Smith49c758.59$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.698,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Colton Smith9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Colton Smith60c521.47$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.953,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Jay Dylan Friend25c507$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2510440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jay Dylan Friend52c501.23$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.272,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…43aabacked Jay Dylan Friend44c457.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jay Dylan Friend28c449$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.784,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colton Smith11c395.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.374,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Colton Smith56c377.96$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.661,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jay Dylan Friend40c377.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.861,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jay Dylan Friend28c357$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.814,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Jay Dylan Friend44c321.97$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.334655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Jay Dylan Friend80c314.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8911372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb6…f7c4backed Colton Smith58c303.45$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Colton Smith17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Colton Smith19c300$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Jay Dylan Friend71c280.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.348177.8%63 W · 18 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Jay Dylan Friend20c249.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Jay Dylan Friend44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2738356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Colton Smith79c220.07$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.111,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Jay Dylan Friend48c206$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.121,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jay Dylan Friend31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Colton Smith30c190$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5758931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Colton Smith53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jay Dylan Friend30c182.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.28,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…c6e1backed Colton Smith56c174.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Colton Smith56c169.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.055263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Colton Smith73c164.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.355664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Colton Smith62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5181…504bbacked Colton Smith16c150.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.033363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Jay Dylan Friend49c148.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jay Dylan Friend37c146.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.636,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jay Dylan Friend25c139.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.255,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Colton Smith73c131.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.925468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Jay Dylan Friend44c129.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.841644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jay Dylan Friend28c125.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.072,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jay Dylan Friend37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.623,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Jay Dylan Friend22c120$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.633751.9%175 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Colton Smith65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5555941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Colton Smith17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013938.8%54 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Colton Smith56c115.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.752,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jay Dylan Friend28c114.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.056,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Jay Dylan Friend45c112.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2719347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Colton Smith80c112$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.625546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Jay Dylan Friend52c106.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.964355.8%24 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Colton Smith74c105.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7844751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jay Dylan Friend44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Jay Dylan Friend22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7830147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Jay Dylan Friend44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5693945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Colton Smith79c98.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814459%85 W · 59 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Jay Dylan Friend40c98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.833235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Jay Dylan Friend76c97.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.410063%63 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jay Dylan Friend68c94.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Colton Smith79c92.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8833550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf30…5c23backed Colton Smith56c89.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.298844.3%39 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Jay Dylan Friend39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7422235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Jay Dylan Friend37c88.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.473,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Colton Smith59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jay Dylan Friend24c80.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.251,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Jay Dylan Friend22c79.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.711,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Jay Dylan Friend20c73.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2143618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Colton Smith70c70.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5919347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedd…0a26backed Colton Smith76c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Colton Smith56c69.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4260…1ddfbacked Colton Smith22c69.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Colton Smith65c65.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b4…b1f4backed Jay Dylan Friend24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Colton Smith61c57.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Jay Dylan Friend44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.818541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Jay Dylan Friend27c53.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3721563.3%136 W · 79 L+18.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…d705backed Jay Dylan Friend20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Colton Smith62c48.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99b…984dbacked Colton Smith71c47.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.72142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Colton Smith64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020563.4%130 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Colton Smith55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…f571backed Jay Dylan Friend51c45.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.14753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Colton Smith56c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5619852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.