South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9acf1b3a63654c32cddf3e049359558877f2de583892b06b13b55d28713e2cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 31,441$18,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,346.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 20,119$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.76 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 48c | 17,099$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 2,832$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.76 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,891$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.53 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 58c | 1,571$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.32 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 58c | 1,554$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.76 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 50c | 942.68$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.45 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.76 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 40c | 575$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 437.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 433.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 55c | 401.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 57c | 376.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 316.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 52c | 310$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 309.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 40c | 279.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 33c | 273.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 40c | 273.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 272.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…a4f5backed Yes | 78c | 192.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 145.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 62c | 135.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 131.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 122.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 118.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 50c | 113.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 95.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 77c | 93.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 56c | 88.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 86.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 86.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 64c | 85.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 77c | 67.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 55c | 61.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 32c | 59.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 56.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 51.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…b4abbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 33c | 41.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 36c | 34.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f3…4a8dbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 61c | 33.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 67c | 32.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 69c | 29.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…0a26backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.