South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c31a4e6bcde24e43c134a2451938d6d2c9bca2180fa7cb46f4e78457ef3948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 12,613$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.51 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 76c | 5,078$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.34 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 4,148$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,105$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 2,060$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 72c | 1,688$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.23 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 40c | 1,658$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 58c | 531.62$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 30c | 398.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 12c | 299.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 19c | 284.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 63c | 278.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 63c | 265.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 78c | 256.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 60c | 248.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 63c | 247.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 29c | 237.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 75c | 234$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 210.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 185.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 47c | 185.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 45c | 175.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 45c | 158.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 68c | 141.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 140.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 137.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 128.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 43c | 117.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 18c | 112$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 32c | 107.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 69c | 99.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 57c | 97.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…63b8backed No | 18c | 92.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 59c | 86.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 59c | 85.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked No | 18c | 73.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 58c | 68.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 47c | 46.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 63c | 42.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed No | 57c | 35.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 34c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Yes | 63c | 25.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…0a26backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.