South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48afa3b167b7ea96298d356514ccf38854555223ca0369b84155341303a0d4fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 74c | 5,406$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.78 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 74c | 5,393$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.82 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 64c | 4,980$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.27 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 2,521$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.63 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…e637backed No | 23c | 2,390$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,222$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed No | 78c | 1,180$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked No | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…c23cbacked No | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…9897backed No | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed No | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked No | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed No | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed No | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…b168backed No | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d8…6eacbacked No | 26c | 961.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked No | 30c | 841.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…deabbacked No | 26c | 769.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Yes | 14c | 697.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 641.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 7c | 640$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 587.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 578.71$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.87 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 577.64$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.79 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…494abacked No | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 567.09$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 7c | 515$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Yes | 23c | 374$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked No | 28c | 358.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Yes | 19c | 354.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 296$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…1296backed No | 23c | 245.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 75c | 239$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…9b3ebacked No | 80c | 227.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 77c | 223.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 77c | 208.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 10c | 170.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 19c | 156.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 12c | 154.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 138.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 137$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 25c | 117.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 19c | 105.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 52c | 93.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 82.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Yes | 17c | 76.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 75.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 74.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked No | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…402abacked No | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 22c | 66.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Yes | 24c | 64.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 22c | 55.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 74c | 53.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 74c | 53.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 78c | 51.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 34.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 21.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe218…860dbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.