TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe76b…9b3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$480.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$31.23
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$24.24
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30%+$12.7
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+60%+$11.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26%+$14.43
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.2
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.5
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$15.56
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$34.85
Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$43.53
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$66.9
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$25.5
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+241%+$108.34
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.07
Contrexeville: Anna Blinkova vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Aurora Zantedeschi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$5.98
Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Newport: Lea Ma vs Clervie Ngounouebacked Lea Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$8.35
Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchibacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$12.49
Trieste: Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodigbacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Nottingham 3: William Jansen vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$20.59
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shickbacked Timo Legout · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Cary: Timo Legout vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$31.43
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$13.11
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$17.36
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.78
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.