Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48471b0797c414c7cd6c636c4f2cdf64fbd84e6c90027799490ff9ca224ab15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernard Tomicof Bernard Tomic, Spencer Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bernard Tomic | 47c | 26,367$12,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,085.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Spencer Johnson | 56c | 15,052$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.36 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bernard Tomic | 52c | 10,783$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.06 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic | 52c | 5,797$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spencer Johnson | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.77 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Bernard Tomic | 59c | 4,282$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.33 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spencer Johnson | 4c | 3,846$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18b…9957backed Spencer Johnson | 57c | 3,640$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Bernard Tomic | 41c | 3,293$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.73 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Spencer Johnson | 64c | 3,101$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.14 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bernard Tomic | 66c | 2,919$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.72 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Spencer Johnson | 68c | 2,917$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.49 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Spencer Johnson | 53c | 2,774$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Bernard Tomic | 42c | 2,658$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.5 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Spencer Johnson | 58c | 2,554$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.88 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spencer Johnson | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.67 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Spencer Johnson | 54c | 1,744$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.63 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Spencer Johnson | 51c | 1,625$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.59 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spencer Johnson | 72c | 1,500$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.46 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Bernard Tomic | 62c | 1,366$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.32 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spencer Johnson | 60c | 1,313$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Bernard Tomic | 79c | 1,226$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.46 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bernard Tomic | 42c | 1,218$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.16 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Bernard Tomic | 40c | 1,178$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.6 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spencer Johnson | 48c | 1,138$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bernard Tomic | 80c | 1,137$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.34 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bernard Tomic | 54c | 1,094$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Spencer Johnson | 59c | 1,030$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.65 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Bernard Tomic | 39c | 1,017$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Spencer Johnson | 65c | 975.61$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.56 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bernard Tomic | 54c | 973.9$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.86 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Spencer Johnson | 61c | 959.4$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.23 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Spencer Johnson | 21c | 924.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 897.91$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bernard Tomic | 51c | 875.61$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Spencer Johnson | 67c | 864.61$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bernard Tomic | 27c | 824$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.52 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Spencer Johnson | 61c | 797.79$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.05 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Bernard Tomic | 43c | 786.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.73 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Spencer Johnson | 29c | 769.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Spencer Johnson | 67c | 764.8$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.79 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bernard Tomic | 52c | 745.93$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Bernard Tomic | 46c | 732.86$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.97 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…d030backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 723.58$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.15 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 720.11$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Bernard Tomic | 40c | 629.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.48 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Spencer Johnson | 61c | 625.26$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spencer Johnson | 52c | 601.74$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spencer Johnson | 57c | 596.79$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.95 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Bernard Tomic | 59c | 595.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Spencer Johnson | 68c | 537.57$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Spencer Johnson | 68c | 523.03$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c6…0b4dbacked Bernard Tomic | 37c | 520.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bernard Tomic | 42c | 507.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.13 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spencer Johnson | 47c | 506.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Spencer Johnson | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Spencer Johnson | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Spencer Johnson | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Bernard Tomic | 41c | 500$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Bernard Tomic | 40c | 499.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bernard Tomic | 39c | 478.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Spencer Johnson | 59c | 441$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Spencer Johnson | 48c | 414.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…aa02backed Bernard Tomic | 55c | 403.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Spencer Johnson | 75c | 401.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…88e5backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…ef36backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…437abacked Bernard Tomic | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Spencer Johnson | 55c | 392.52$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spencer Johnson | 58c | 382.39$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Bernard Tomic | 48c | 366.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Spencer Johnson | 55c | 364.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Spencer Johnson | 68c | 350.77$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Bernard Tomic | 67c | 330$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Spencer Johnson | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 319$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bernard Tomic | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Spencer Johnson | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bernard Tomic | 39c | 292.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bernard Tomic | 55c | 283.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Spencer Johnson | 53c | 282.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Bernard Tomic | 50c | 282.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Bernard Tomic | 67c | 280$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Spencer Johnson | 53c | 279.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Bernard Tomic | 43c | 276$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 270.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Bernard Tomic | 67c | 260$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Bernard Tomic | 58c | 253.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Bernard Tomic | 42c | 253.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spencer Johnson | 31c | 252.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Bernard Tomic | 43c | 239.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Spencer Johnson | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Bernard Tomic | 70c | 230$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tomic vs JohnsonJohnson won
- Set Handicap: Johnson (-1.5) vs Tomic (+1.5)Tomic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.