TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacob Fearnleyof Jacob Fearnley, Stefan Kozlov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$533,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Jacob Fearnley64c86,916$55,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,997.0820444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Stefan Kozlov20c77,450$15,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,726.9617837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jacob Fearnley68c45,361$30,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,376.748,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Stefan Kozlov28c28,921$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0003735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Stefan Kozlov33c16,504$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,446.691,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefan Kozlov28c14,057$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.164,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Stefan Kozlov20c13,229$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.8125955.2%143 W · 116 L+36.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Jacob Fearnley46c7,187$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,881.221,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Kozlov34c5,268$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.618,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacob Fearnley46c4,199$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.366,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Stefan Kozlov1c3,700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Stefan Kozlov28c3,660$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.9518932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Stefan Kozlov36c2,797$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jacob Fearnley76c2,432$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.312,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Jacob Fearnley44c2,411$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.6514134%48 W · 93 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9461…6be0backed Jacob Fearnley72c2,252$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.498246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Stefan Kozlov27c2,241$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.118936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Jacob Fearnley47c2,087$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.261,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jacob Fearnley73c2,058$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9193168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Stefan Kozlov15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jacob Fearnley64c1,722$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.052,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Stefan Kozlov29c1,566$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3336554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Jacob Fearnley56c1,511$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.4712863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Jacob Fearnley73c1,497$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1933156.2%186 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf651…53a1backed Jacob Fearnley73c1,453$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.751855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Jacob Fearnley52c1,434$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.3822123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Jacob Fearnley45c1,360$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.6323723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Jacob Fearnley80c1,356$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6325464.6%164 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Stefan Kozlov27c1,326$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.874,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Jacob Fearnley43c1,253$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.4254547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Jacob Fearnley28c1,250$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.4274343.7%325 W · 418 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…295dbacked Jacob Fearnley71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Kozlov28c1,117$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.16,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Stefan Kozlov27c1,112$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Jacob Fearnley78c1,056$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.612,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Stefan Kozlov29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Stefan Kozlov20c951.51$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.363052.7%332 W · 298 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jacob Fearnley55c948.36$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.424,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Stefan Kozlov59c932.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jacob Fearnley57c921.1$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.795,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jacob Fearnley45c889.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.441,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Stefan Kozlov30c840$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.051,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Stefan Kozlov42c832.36$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.3650655.5%281 W · 225 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Stefan Kozlov21c822.38$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.729455.8%164 W · 130 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a71…a47ebacked Jacob Fearnley74c772.33$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Stefan Kozlov53c770.12$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3847756.6%270 W · 207 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Stefan Kozlov33c753.41$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.853417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Stefan Kozlov69c721.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008345.8%38 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Stefan Kozlov14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Stefan Kozlov25c642.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+70.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Stefan Kozlov41c637.49$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Stefan Kozlov16c628.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Jacob Fearnley51c627.45$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4522154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c0…8ea1backed Stefan Kozlov16c627.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.362313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Jacob Fearnley50c605.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.121,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Jacob Fearnley49c605.09$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4112843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Stefan Kozlov35c585.06$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.291040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Stefan Kozlov43c576.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25036744.4%163 W · 204 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Jacob Fearnley44c567.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9887237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Stefan Kozlov28c549.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.745,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Stefan Kozlov59c511.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044051.6%227 W · 213 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Jacob Fearnley40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacob Fearnley57c496$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.284,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Jacob Fearnley22c492.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.261,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Stefan Kozlov15c489.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.374,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Stefan Kozlov16c487.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.981,37716.3%224 W · 1,153 L-109.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ef6…01a9backed Stefan Kozlov35c484$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Stefan Kozlov20c475$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Stefan Kozlov22c455.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Jacob Fearnley46c438$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.972755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Stefan Kozlov40c435.83$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.391,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481e…dadfbacked Jacob Fearnley69c435.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Jacob Fearnley41c427.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1626953.5%144 W · 125 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Jacob Fearnley57c426.05$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1552854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd79…bec6backed Jacob Fearnley69c404.42$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…9b3ebacked Stefan Kozlov29c401.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.072152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Jacob Fearnley72c395.92$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3527852.5%146 W · 132 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Kozlov26c394.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.046,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…7d63backed Jacob Fearnley67c392.45$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Stefan Kozlov42c389.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.141,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Jacob Fearnley75c372.84$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1946565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Jacob Fearnley53c367.42$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Jacob Fearnley47c366.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7556153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Jacob Fearnley49c365.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.944860.4%29 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Jacob Fearnley54c355$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9650341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Jacob Fearnley44c350.55$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.372755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Stefan Kozlov33c342.03$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2829932.8%98 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Jacob Fearnley43c330.23$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.231,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Stefan Kozlov31c329.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.44,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee7…18e3backed Jacob Fearnley71c311.22$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Stefan Kozlov33c304.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221d…e634backed Jacob Fearnley71c303.9$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70f…ed45backed Stefan Kozlov14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42210%0 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Jacob Fearnley50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Jacob Fearnley73c267$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Stefan Kozlov40c261.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6160452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Jacob Fearnley68c260.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.619167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Jacob Fearnley63c260$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.28241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Stefan Kozlov30c255.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.876830.9%21 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Stefan Kozlov64c255$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.451,80640.9%739 W · 1,067 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.