TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5c0…8ea1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Music, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Music at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.75
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.36
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.01
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keysbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.69
Campinas: Gustavo Heide vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.78
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$45.58
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.67
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+394.9%+$378.27
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.52
Australian Open Men's: Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.62
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.79
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99.74
Australian Open Women's: Peyton Stearns vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$86.8
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Muchova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$80.51
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)backed Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$84.99
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+614.3%+$417.71
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tienbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$166.21
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.17
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.61
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.